Will I get a PhD?
What is the probability of getting a PhD position after getting some number of rejections?
When Should the Fire Alarm Go Off: A model for optimal thresholds
In this post I consider a model where there is a possible bad outcome, and the chance of it happening is related to something we can measure. We need to… Read more »
Results for Training Neural Networks with Bayesian Linear Regression
In this post I will demonstrate results from training neural nets using approximate Bayesian updating. The algorithm is described here, the code for everything can be found here. I will… Read more »
Does making unsteady incremental progress work?
There’s a commonly repeated piece of wisdom about incremental improvement which says it’s important to know the difference between $1.01^x$ and $0.99^x$ as as $x$ gets very large. If you… Read more »
Algorithm for Training Neural Nets with Bayesian Linear Regression
Here I propose a method for training neural networks using Bayesian updating. This method has a few advantages: Learns from just a single pass of the data Because it isn’t… Read more »
Summary of AI Research Considerations for Human Existential Safety (ARCHES)
I read Andrew Critch and David Krueger’s AI Research Considerations for Human Existential Safety (ARCHES) recently, which is a report that outlines and discusses 29 research directions which might be… Read more »
Bird Clothing
I like clothing with birds on it. I also like birds, as well as other animals. I have previously said that I like bird clothing, more than I like bird… Read more »
One of the ways in which the world is currently broken
The other day I saw one of the ways in which things are tragically broken. Broken in such a way that it seems better to sacrifice maybe the most important thing, because the alternative is currently worse.
Obviously panic isn’t useful but don’t ridicule people for being reasonably concerned
I’ve seen a lot of articles and Facebook posts downplaying how bad the coronavirus pandemic is. I’m not writing this because people should panic, but because things look pretty bad… Read more »